![]() ![]() Crucially, Raqqa’s stability depends on the U.S. Tit-for-tat confrontations between Turkey and the SDF keep the northern border on edge and could escalate. The province in which the city sits remains divided and contested among Turkey, Russia and the Syrian regime, while ISIS remnants exploit porous internal borders to move around. The Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) who control Raqqa city as well as the majority of the province govern efficiently, but high-handedly as some perceive it, fomenting occasional unrest. Yet this relative success rests on wobbly foundations. Raqqa, the former de facto capital of the Islamic State (ISIS), today is among the more stable areas in Syria. They should seek diplomatic arrangements to avert further disruptive offensives. and other anti-ISIS coalition members should promote steps to stabilise the north east, including areas like Raqqa. What should be done? The Biden administration has signalled that it will maintain U.S. Any sudden shift in the balance of power is liable to lead to violence, severe humanitarian crisis and mass displacement. Regional and international forces use the area to project power and pursue their security interests. Why does it matter? Raqqa’s trajectory and fault lines provide insight into the challenges ahead in Syria. deterrence of military moves from Turkey and/or Russia in tandem with the Damascus regime. Yet the stability of this Kurdish-controlled predominantly Arab province in north-eastern Syria is precarious and hinges on U.S. ![]() troops followed by a Turkish incursion, Raqqa is largely quiet. ![]() What’s new? Two years after an abrupt withdrawal of U.S. ![]()
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